המתת השור

page xii
" because in consequence the 2 phenomena of inertia and innovation conitnue to operate in all its historical developments' it remains my view that we shall always find what happens both more or less' surprising than we expect. judgements about the significants of recent or contemporary events' should only be made with this kept firmly in mind. i remain incluined to believe too' that such judgements aill always be influrenced very much by temperament and that our unnate optimism or pessimism will tinge any attemps to make prediction. even if we could handle their abundance' none but the most general statements about likely futures could ever be made from such facts as history provides/

the history fo the world